The dot plot, decoded When the central bank releases its Summary of Economic Projections each quarter, Fed watchers focus obsessively on one part in particular: the so-called dot plot.

The dot plot shows the highest projection for 2025 of 5.625% and the lowest projection of 2.625%. The message from the dot plot is that interest rates are going to stay higher for longer.

The Fed’s dot plot is a chart updated quarterly that records each Fed official’s projection for the central bank’s key short-term interest rate, the federal funds rate.

The June dot plot was a significant shift from March when the majority of policymakers projected three rate cuts. Higher-than-expected inflation in the first quarter prompted officials to scale ...

March 2024 FOMC meeting is crucial for markets with the release of the Fed's dot plot, showing policymakers' expectations for future interest rates.

With today's Federal Reserve rate decision seen as a foregone conclusion, many investors will look to the central bank's economic and interest-rate projections for a sense of how eager Chair ...