Fed Officials Are Divided in Their Interest-Rate Outlook. How to Make Sense of the ‘Dot Plot’

The Federal Reserve’s quarterly Summary of Economic Projections revealed an unusually wide range of estimates for future interest rates. But don’t ignore it.
MarketWatch

Understanding the Fed Dot Plot: A Comprehensive Guide

The Federal Reserve’s dot plot is a graph that contains the Federal Open Market Committee participants’ forecasts of where they think the federal funds rate will head over the next several years.

The Dot Plot, Explained: How the Fed Forecasts Interest Rates

Every three months, the central bank updates a scatter chart showing where top officials believe rates are headed. Not everyone is a fan of the anonymous projections.
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How the Fed’s Dot Plot, Political Pressures, and Tariffs Shape Rate-Cut Expectations and Market Reactions

“The dots are not a great forecaster of future rate moves,” Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has warned, but every quarter the financial universe ponders the FOMC’s dot plot as though it were a ...
Bloomberg L.P.

The Dot Plot, Explained: Understanding How the Fed Forecasts

It’s almost certainly the most closely scrutinized scatter chart in financial markets. Every three months since January 2012, the Federal Reserve has sent analysts scurrying by updating its “dot plot, ...
The New York Times

How to Read the Fed’s Projections Like a Pro

The Federal Reserve will release fresh economic estimates on Wednesday. Here’s how to read the outlook for 2025 and beyond. By Jeanna Smialek Federal Reserve officials are scheduled to release a fresh ...
Forbes

Three Reasons Why The Fed Should Get Rid Of The Dot Plot

WASHINGTON, DC - JANUARY 29: Jerome Powell, U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman, speaks at a press conference after a Federal Open Market Committee meeting at the Federal Reserve on January 29, 2025 in ...
U.S. News & World Report

Fed Chair Powell Signals Possible Tweaks to 'Dot Plot' Rate-Path Forecasts

(Reuters) -Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday signaled potential changes for the Fed's closely watched "dot plot" interest-rate projections as part of a broad policy framework review ...
Reuters

Fed's "dot plot" looks increasingly out of touch on rates

SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve's rate path "dot plot" has become increasingly detached from financial markets' interest-rate projections and risks sending an overly hawkish message that ...
AOL

Fed meeting likely to produce first rate cut of 2025. Will it keep going?

The Federal Reserve is widely expected this week to make its first interest rate cut of 2025 ... One clue will come in the form of the Fed's "dot plot," a chart updated quarterly that shows each ...
The New York Times

How to Read the Fed’s Projections Like a Pro

The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates on Wednesday. Wall Street is focused on how much, and on what comes next. By Jeanna Smialek Jeanna Smialek covers economics and reported this story from ...
Reuters

Fed's 'dot plot' looks increasingly out of touch on rates

SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve's rate path "dot plot" has become increasingly detached from financial markets' interest-rate projections and risks sending an overly hawkish message that ...