Bloodshed over the weekend highlighted the brittleness of the cease-fires in both places. Still, Israel, Hamas and Hezbollah each have reasons to postpone a new escalation, at least for a few weeks.

Israel has not toppled Hamas’ rule over Gaza -- at least not yet—but for Hamas to portray this as a victory is an act of staggering self-deception. The same in Lebanon. Lebanon's Hezbollah members hold party flags as they listen to their leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah addressing his supporters via a screen during a rally marking the anniversary of the defeat of militants near the Lebanese-Syrian border,

On Saturday, Trump ordered the U.S. to resume shipments of the 2,000-pound bombs to Israel. In May, Biden halted the shipments, claiming at the time that the weapons were being used in areas with high concentrations of civilians, leading to civilian deaths.