Dr. Bayes's research and teaching interests center on the political behavior and political psychology of everyday Americans, and particularly, how they process scientific information in order to form ...

For decades, the fate of a clinical trial has hinged on a single, almost ritualistic question: did the p-value fall below 0.05? If it did, the trial was positive and the treatment declared a success; ...

Week 5 of the NFL season started with a big upset, as the heavily-favored Dallas Cowboys fell 24-16 to the visiting Tampa Bay Buccaneers on "Thursday Night Football." • Buzz: Rams' loss jolts survivor ...

Compound process models are widely used to model the sum of claims against an insurance portfolio or total withdrawals from a bank. The classic compound Poisson-Exponential model is often used, and ...

How does a coherent structure emerge from many small random occurrences? For instance, at what point are there enough openings in a sponge for a liquid to flow through? Such questions are critical to ...